Wow, its been a little too long since I have written something. Between a busted knee and an impending decline in 60 hour work weeks I will soon find myself with some extra free time. Right now I have two ideas for interesting posts:
-A moral defense of sweatshops and child labor
-Comments on separatist/reformist movements and their use of force
I would like to write something about capacity building, since that is where I am currently most interested in pursuing a career. It is a little amorphous right now, but I'll probably focus on the necessity of local "ownership." I hinted at this idea in my first post on Barbara Walters' interview of President Assad. There I briefly discussed the role of France in the American Revolution and more recent international involvement in Libya, but I think this subject deserves a lot more consideration, especially since it seems so few people, organizations, and governments recognize it.
I am also taking suggestions. If there is something you'd like to discuss, give me a shout and I'll try to figure something out. Preference will be given to posts with the most potential for clever titles and pop culture references. (Batman, Game of Thrones?)
There is a time and place for actions and policies affecting the well being of the world to be guided by morality and reason. It is always and everywhere.
Thursday, May 24, 2012
Friday, April 13, 2012
Is Anyone Surprised That Happened?
On February 29th North Korea announced
it would suspend nuclear weapons tests and uranium enrichment, as well as allow
inspectors to monitor its main nuclear facility. In turn United States agreed to give the
county tons of desperately needed food aid.
Approximately one minute after its
Friday the 13th launch, North Korea’s Kwangmyongsong (Bright Shining
Light) exploded,
with debris falling back to earth and landing in the Yellow Sea. Amidst the post-launch hype of North Korea’s
failed “weather satellite” the United States announced it will suspend food aid
shipments and Russia,
China, and India agreed that the attempted launch violated UNSC sanctions. Of course South Korea and Japan haven’t
missed the opportunity to condemn North Korea for spending hundreds of millions
of dollars developing this rocket while its citizens are impoverished and malnourished.
But was anyone really expecting this latest
kerfuffle to play out any differently?
This was North Korea’s 3rd failed “satellite” launch, though
it is the first they have admitted to the North Korean public. (North Koreans are told that the other two
satellites were launched into space and are broadcasting songs and information
to the rest of the world.) North Korea
has also preformed two nuclear weapons tests in 2006 and 2009, and numerous
long range missile tests. All of these are
in violation of UNSC sanctions and prompted condemnation and the freezing of
foreign aid.
Every time the North Korean government
has suckered the international community into sending them food aid, they have
subsequently reneged on their side of the deal or otherwise violated international
sanctions, prompting foreign aid to freeze.
The Cartoon
of the Week for April 13, 2012 sums my sentiments up pretty well, or at
least the look on the face of the reporter in the bottom right of the
image.
Why
Do We Keep Setting Ourselves Up For Disappointment?
This time I believe it was primarily because
this was the first such agreement with North Korea under the rule of Kim Jong-Un. International leaders simply couldn’t refuse the
chance to kick the tires on the new leader, hoping that his upbringing in
Switzerland, as opposed to in North Korea under his father, would mean the
apple did in fact fall very far from the tree.
Hindsight being 20/20, that wishful thinking proved nothing more than a
dream.
Is
There a Right Answer?
Two years from now when North Korea
comes back to the table promising to freeze its nuclear weapons program and
stop testing missiles in exchange for food aid, what should we do? Should we refuse, knowing they weren’t going
to hold up their end anyway? Or should
we agree, and console ourselves with the fact that we saved thousands of North
Koreans from starvation.
By agreeing to North Korea’s deals we
are continuing down the same path of appeasement, which has proven useless in persuading
North Korean leaders to abandon their nuclear weapon and missile programs. Unfortunately the facts on the ground mean refusing
to send North Korea food aid will result in North Korean children going hungry,
and dying from starvation.
Clearly the root problem is North Korean
leadership, which would rather spend $200 million on a missile instead of
spending the money on planting crops. But
sanctions with proving ineffective at influencing North Korean policies, what
other options are there for the world to exert soft power over North Korean
leadership?
Again, the reality of the situation is
that while North Korea has nuclear weapons pointed at Seoul and Tokyo there is
little the world can do to strong arm Pyongyang, worst of all, they know
that.
Thursday, March 15, 2012
Romney's Plan for Dealing With Iran is Great... Its Also Not His Plan
Mitt Romney recently
wrote an Op-Ed
in the Washington Post describing how he would handle Iran compared to Obama. To sum up, Romney starts with a few ice
breakers; Spetember 11th was bad, terrorism is scary, and Iran wants
to destroy Israel. He then progresses to
slightly more constructive content by stating that while Obama says we need to
prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons, “his rhetoric has not been matched
by an effective policy.” Romney then presents how he would deal with
Iran.
“I will press for
ever-tightening sanctions, acting with other countries if we can but alone if
we must. I will speak out on behalf of
the cause of democracy in Iran and support Iranian dissidents who are fighting
for their freedom. I will make clear
that America’s commitment to Israel’s security and survival is absolute.” Later in the Op-Ed Romney adds that he will
maintain a strong naval presence in the Persian Gulf and stresses that he is
willing to use military force if necessary.
I
think that plan sounds great. It focuses
on multilateral diplomatic and economic options and makes it clear to Iranian leadership that if these options fail
the United States and its allies are willing and able to resort to a military option
with the goal of eliminating Iran’s nuclear program and removing them from power. There is only one problem… Romney’s
proposed plan is actually Obama’s plan, and he has been doing it for nearly his
entire Presidency.
Pressing for
tight, multilateral sanctions:
The
following list of international organizations and countries have imposed
sanctions against Iran. These range from
freezing assets to prohibiting the import of Iranian oil.
- The United Nations
- The European Union
- Australia
- Canada
- India
- Israel
- Japan
- South Korea
- Switzerland
- United States
U.S. Support for
Iranian Dissidents:
Last
year Secretary of State Hillary Clinton called on Iranian opposition to seek
international support, “as
Libya rebels did.” In the case of
Libya, the Transitional National Council asked the international community to send
aid and impose a no-fly-zone over Libya to protect civilians from aircraft
loyal to Gaddafi. Openly suggesting that
a group of people should request military aide in their struggle against their
government is a pretty strong sign that you support them.
American
Commitment to Israel:
Romney
cites this write up of a recent
Oval Office meeting between Israel Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Obama
as an example that Obama’s, “rhetoric has not been matched by an effective
policy.” Interesting that same article goes on to quote Netanyahu as saying, “Americans know that Israel and
the United States share common values, that we defend common interests, that we
face common enemies. Iran’s leaders know that, too. For them, you’re the Great
Satan, we’re the Little Satan. For them, we are you, and you’re us.” The article continues to cite Obama’s address
to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) as saying U.S. military
aid to Israel has increased each year of his Presidency.
Regional Naval
Presence:
To
say the United States doesn’t have a regional naval presence is simply
ridiculous. Not only has the U.S. Navy
been conducting numerous anti-piracy operations in the Persian Gulf, but the
Fifth Fleet is stationed in Bahrain, 100 miles from Iran.
Romney’s Next
Moves:
It is pretty clear
that President Obama has already done everything Romney said he would do. So do that make Romney a Democrat, Obama a Republican,
or does it mean a good idea has no political alliance?
Wednesday, March 14, 2012
March Madness
Foreign Policy
March Madness
A
write up of last year’s tournament is available here. Check it out to better understand the style
of my own tournament analysis.
Matchups to
Watch:
India
v. Brazil: Last year these emerging heavyweights met in
a thrilling Elite 8 match-up from which Brazil’s Rousseff progressed to the
Final Four to face Obama. Both BRICS Nations
are on top of their game but this year the edge goes to Singh. India is working to become the only nation to
become a permanent member of the UNSC since the inception of the United Nations;
and that will carry them through this tough first round matchup.
Obama
v. Netanyahu: President Obama was able to control the
backboard and get a win over Netanyahu in a home court match up earlier this
month. That said, The Oval Office is
probably the second friendliest gym for Israel play in, and at a truly neutral site
Obama will win handily.
Players to
Watch:
Castro
Brothers:
Or in this case it is, “players not to watch.”
Cuba wasn’t invited to America’s
Summit… and they made THIS tourney?!?!
This is an easy win for Robert Mugabe.
Putin: Vladi is
running down hill after a decisive “victory”
in the recent Russian Presidential election and some strong diplomacy regarding
Syria and Iran. He isn’t unstoppable,
but this is his tournament to lose.
Kim
Jong Un:
The new leader of North Korea is close to securing tons of food aid from the United
States by promising to freeze its nuclear weapon program. Lil’ Kim’s father would be proud to see his
son exploiting the United States for free food while only briefly pausing North
Korea’s nuclear program. Unfortunately
for Kim his road to the Final Four is through Tehran, and that is a level of
crazy this young leader can’t play at yet.
Note: North Korean
defectors interviewed in April 2011 thought the tournament was a Battle Royale among
foreign leaders fighting for the favor of Kim Jong Il, who once brought a knife
to a gun fight and won.
Late Tournament Action:
Game
# 30, Putin v. Ahmadinejad: These two met in the semi finals last year but this
will not be a repeat. Despite a strong
performance by the KGB veteran in the early rounds, Putin’s age has caught up
to him. Strong fundamentals can only
make up for so much, and in this game the 20 minute half time didn’t give the Russia
bear enough time for the hibernation he needed.
Ahmadinejad pulls ahead in the late third quarter and doesn’t look back
as he advances to his first finals appearance.
Finals,
Obama v. Ahmadinejad:
No one doubted that Obama would make it to this game. Despite a tough Elite 8 matchup against
Angela Merkel (Who has been bench pressing the European economy for training) his
tried and true Hope play won in the end.
In the semi finals Obama looked casual against Singh of India as he
spoke confidently and inspirationally about great things; propelling him to a
second consecutive tournament championship game, the first leader to do so in
the two year history of the tournament.
The Game: With a
disregard for his citizens that would have made Stalin blush, Ahmadinejad
refused once and for all to freeze Iran’s nuclear program. Although he didn’t,
“hesitate to use force,” Obama was beaten to the first punch by Israeli Prime
Minister Netanyahu, who swooped down from the rafters shouting,
“I will never allow my people to live in the shadow of annihilation!” When the dust had settled the bewildered
officials and President Obama beheld a triumphant Netanyahu, posed like
Washington crossing the Delaware, over his vanquished advisory.
After
a lengthy discussion and numerous calls to the review booth (manned by Kofi
Annan) the officials declare Netanyahu the 2012 March Madness Champion. With reelection less than eight months away Obama
humbly accepts the decision of the officials, and the financial and political
support of AIPAC on account of his unprecedented support of Israel.
Friday, March 2, 2012
A Response to Karl Rove’s, “How to Beat Obama”
Karl Rove and Ed Gillespie recently
wrote an article asserting that the
Republican nominee should challenge President Obama on foreign policy to expose
how weak he actually is on the subject. When I first saw this article my
plan was to make this the first addition to the Election 2012 page of my
blog. However as I read it I couldn't help but formulate a
response to some of Mr. Rove’s assertions and suggestions.
My
Problems with the Article:
American Exceptionalism:
The belief that because the United
States has the biggest economy, strongest military, etc… it is exempt from the
rules and guidelines of international conduct is flawed. Nations should
not roam the world with a ‘because I can’ attitude, taking unilateral action
against the expressed will of the international community. In an
environment where no party has a monopoly on the use of force (and would therefore
be responsible for enforcing law and order) the rules of international conduct
are merely guidelines for determining personal action. This means they
are only as strong and respect each nation holds for them.
With regards to the role of global
policeman that the United States so often plays, this work is both legitimized
and enhanced by partnerships with regional organizations like the African Union
and Arab League. In the case of Libya, NATO military action was
legitimized by the involvement of Arab nations like the U.A.E. In Central
Africa, President Obama sent 100 U.S. troops to Uganda, South Sudan, C.A.R. and
the D.R.C. These soldiers will work with the African Nations to defeat
the Lord’s Resistance Army, which has been raping, murdering, and kidnapping
for over 20 years.
In essence, with great power comes
great responsibility. Part of that responsibility is being humble, saying
thank you, and quietly going about your business of being the best. A
perfect example of this is the rescue of Iranian sailors being held captive by
Somali pirates. In the wake of each rescue the Navy has fed, clothed, and
treated the sailors for any medical needs before quickly returning them to the
Iranian Coast Guard. There were never any attempts to use the sailors as
leverage to influence Iranian nuclear policies, or any other disrespectful
treatment of the sailors. The only publicity these rescues have gotten is
a quick story on the major news outlets and an official Navy report on the
event. By handling these events in this manner the United States
portrayed itself as acting solely in the best interest of the Iranian sailors
and making no attempt to exploit the situation to influence Iranian policy. As
a result the United States gained the moral high ground, and with it, the
support of many countries in opposing Iranian nuclear policies.
As much as I believe American
Exceptionalism is a flawed philosophy, toting it is proven help win the general
election. So Mr. Rove’s advice to the Republican Nominee is
sound.
Iran Didn’t “pose a serious threat”
in 2008:
Why Mr. Rove, was it so foolish for
then Senator Obama to say Iran doesn’t, “pose a serious threat to us the way the Soviet Union did.”
In 2008 Iran had zero nuclear weapons, and as we can clearly see now, Iran
wasn’t even four years away from developing them. Furthermore the USSR
could have, at any moment, blanketed the entire U.S. with nuclear
missiles. Even if Iran had enough enriched uranium to make a
nuclear warhead, they have no way to get it to the United States. (No,
you can’t simply smuggle a nuclear device into the U.S.) I’ll
conclude this section by saying how foolish it was for the Bush Administration
to think Iraq posed a serious threat to the United States in 2002.
Radical Islamic Terrorism:
Karl Rove begins this section by
asserting that the Republican nominee must make victory over, “radical Islamic
terrorism” the top priority of the nation. He then suggests that
President Obama stops short of this by merely seeking to “delegitimize the use of terrorism and
to isolate those who carry it out.” (pg 20) Mr. Rove is quoting Obama’s May
2010 National Security Strategy. Interestingly after this quote the
National Security Strategy makes a clear distinction that the United States is
not at war with terrorism or Islam, but al-Qa’ida and its affiliates. Mr.
Rove does not make a similar distinction.
Another shortcoming of Mr. Rove’s
article is it fails to list development as a tool to counter the spread of
radical terrorism. As this study from RAND finds, “social and economic development policies
can weaken local support for terrorist activities.” (pg x) In impoverished
areas many terrorist organizations offer recruits and their families’ financial
support which cannot be found elsewhere. Good economic development
policies serve as a peaceful and more profitable means for these young men and
women to support a family.
The example offered by the RAND
study is of development projects in the southern Philippines growing asparagus
and bananas. These initiatives offered an economic alternative to
communities which previously supported local terrorist groups. As a result
of these programs communities had high employment rates and were transformed
into peaceful communities.
Such development projects show the
commitment of the government enacting them to the welfare of the program
beneficiaries. This serves to minimize the grievances and contempt which
can cause individuals to view terrorism is a viable response.
Conversely, President Obama’s 2010
National Security Strategy explicitly outlines the role of development
programs, stating, “The Federal
Government will invest in intelligence to understand this threat
[radicalization] and expand community engagement and development programs to
empower local communities.” (pg 19) This policy shows the Obama
Administration has a solid understanding of the root causes of terrorism.
Based on this article the same cannot be said of Mr. Rove.
Osama bin Laden:
Karl Rove closes by predicting
President Obama will repeat, “endlessly” that bin Laden was killed during his
watch so much so that, “some voters will wonder whether the president himself
personally delivered the kill shot.” I’ll restrain myself from starting a
tally of what the President credits to whom and simply refer readers to
President Obama’s May 2nd speech to the Nation announcing that
Osama bin Laden is dead.
NOTE: After writing this piece I found
a response from Jermey Rosner and Stanley Greenberg
to Mr. Rove’s article. To summarize, they also assert that Karl Rove and
Ed Gillespie have poor advice for the republican nominee and that not only do
Americans think Obama is good on foreign policy (An assertion Mr. Rove makes),
but he actually is.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Paradise Lost
Before I dive into the meat and potatoes
of this post I want to explain why I titled it Paradise Lost. My working
title was Trouble in Paradise, but
that was the headline for this story in many of the major news outlets and I
wanted to set this analysis apart from the crowd. I settled on Paradise
Lost in reference to John Milton’s 1667 poem
by the same name. The poem concerns the
Biblical story of the banishment of Adam and Eve from the Garden of Eden. In Milton’s own words the purpose of the poem
is to, “justify the ways of God to men.”
Admittedly that was where my knowledge of the work ended. But after reading a synopsis or two I think
an interesting comparison can be drawn between Satan tempting Adam and Eve to
eat from the Tree of Knowledge of Good and Evil, and Former President Nasheed exposing
corruption in the Maldives. In both
stories Satan/Nasheed could have safely remained the ruler of their respective
domains, but they chose to brave the abyss to show Adam and Eve/the world the
truth about good and evil, rather than allow them to remain oblivious. Of course their motivations for acting were
very different so this is where my comparison ends.
In December I posted a link to the Top
5 International Documentaries of 2011. If you haven’t already I highly recommend
checking them out, especially The Island
President, the story of then President Mohamed Nasheed and his struggle to
raise awareness of the dangers of global climate change. This story is captivating for two reasons: the
first is that in 2008 Nasheed became the first democratically elected President
of the Maldives, a small island nation in the Indian Ocean. The second reason is that for the Maldives
climate change doesn’t just mean more powerful storms or extreme
temperatures. Rising sea levels threaten
to submerge the nation (highest elevation is eight feet) beneath the waves of
the Indian Ocean, literally erasing it from the map.
The reason I say “then President” is on
February 7th Mr. Nasheed resigned from office. He succinctly chronicles the events leading
up to his resignation in an Op-Ed
piece he submitted to the New York Times.
To summarize its contents, Mr. Nasheed asserts that he was forced out of
office at gun point after cracking down on a corrupt judicial system and
Islamist Extremists using the freedom of expression guaranteed by the new Constitution
to spread hate and intolerance.
In addition to his Op-Ed piece, Mr.
Nasheed was recently interviewed
by Christiane Amanpour.
In the interview Mr. Nasheed asserts that, “What happens in the Maldives
happens in the Middle East always two or three years later.” This assertion foreshadows a similar upheaval
in Libya, Tunisia, Yemen, and Egypt in 2014.
Mr. Nasheed has been succeeded by his
Vice President, Mohammed Waheed Hassan Manik.
After taking office the new government issued
a warrant for the arrest of Mr. Nasheed on
unspecified criminal charges and began to rebuild the President’s cabinet with
individuals who held high offices during Mr. Guyoom’s dictatorship. Initially President Waheed said Presidential elections
would be held as scheduled in October 2013, however he has recently changed
his stance and said elections would be held, “as early
as considered feasible by all concerned.”
This was further solidified by Indian Foreign Secretary Ranjan Mathai
who brokered an agreement between the two parties for early elections.
If the word of former President Nasheed is taken as the truth, this coup d’état represents a dangerous future for nations emerging from the Arab Spring with new governments. However it is promising that both sides of this issue have thus far been able to work through their differences and agree on a course of action to resolve their dispute. To quote current President Waheed Hassan, “this is an opportunity for us to regain the respect of the international community, but most importantly continue to build a safe, democratic, and prosperous Maldives for all our people.” Clearly the truth of this statement can’t be over emphasized.
Assuming early elections are head in the next few months; the success of this brokered peace will be determined by how free and fair the election is, and the acceptance of the election results. If the losing candidate and their supporters acknowledge that the election was free and fair, and that they accept their opponent as the peoples’ choice for President of the Maldives, than this will be a perfect case study for the peaceful resolution of contested Presidencies. If however, civil unrest ensues or the election is not democratic, the Maldives would become the newest example of a country in chaos and unable to escape political strife.
If the word of former President Nasheed is taken as the truth, this coup d’état represents a dangerous future for nations emerging from the Arab Spring with new governments. However it is promising that both sides of this issue have thus far been able to work through their differences and agree on a course of action to resolve their dispute. To quote current President Waheed Hassan, “this is an opportunity for us to regain the respect of the international community, but most importantly continue to build a safe, democratic, and prosperous Maldives for all our people.” Clearly the truth of this statement can’t be over emphasized.
Assuming early elections are head in the next few months; the success of this brokered peace will be determined by how free and fair the election is, and the acceptance of the election results. If the losing candidate and their supporters acknowledge that the election was free and fair, and that they accept their opponent as the peoples’ choice for President of the Maldives, than this will be a perfect case study for the peaceful resolution of contested Presidencies. If however, civil unrest ensues or the election is not democratic, the Maldives would become the newest example of a country in chaos and unable to escape political strife.
Sunday, February 12, 2012
The Responsibility to Protect
It occurred to me that I have not raised
as many morel and ethical questions as I set out to when I created this
blog. In continuing to analysis the
crisis in Syria I think the justification given by Russia and China for their
veto of a UN Resolution calling for President Assad to step down offers an
excellent case study to consider the morality of intervening in the domestic
affairs of a sovereign Nation.
By design the UN Charter is not definitive on the issue. In Chapter 1, Article 2(7) it states, “nothing
should authorize intervention in matters essentially within the domestic
jurisdiction of any state.” This
definition is in line with the Treaty of Westphalia (1648), in which the
concept of a state was established as the sole entity which can legally exert
authority over a region. Prior to this
treaty Europe functioned in a state of nature, in which whatever government
could exert authority over a region was justified in doing so.
However in Chapter VII, Article 39 the UN Charter authorizes the Security Council to, "determine the existence of any threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression and shall make recommendations, or decide what measures shall be taken in accordance with Article 42 and 42, to maintain or restore international peace and security." Article 41 and 42 outline the necessity of exhausting non-violent options before taking, "action by air, sea, or land forces as may be necessary to maintain or restore international peace and security." This ambiguity allows future leaders to decide on a case-by-case basis whether state sovereignty or international peace and security should take precedent.
However in Chapter VII, Article 39 the UN Charter authorizes the Security Council to, "determine the existence of any threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression and shall make recommendations, or decide what measures shall be taken in accordance with Article 42 and 42, to maintain or restore international peace and security." Article 41 and 42 outline the necessity of exhausting non-violent options before taking, "action by air, sea, or land forces as may be necessary to maintain or restore international peace and security." This ambiguity allows future leaders to decide on a case-by-case basis whether state sovereignty or international peace and security should take precedent.
In the case of the UN Resolution voted
on this past Saturday (2/4/12) the United States, Great Britain, France, and
ten other members of the Security Council voted in favor of the Resolution, believing
the conditions in the Syrian crisis fall under Chapter VII. Conversely China and Russia vetoed the
resolution, arguing the crisis is a domestic matter and falls under Chapter I,
Article 2. While there is a case to be
made for both arguments, every day spent deliberating means another day of
violence and death. Therefore we have a
moral imperative to outline a set of principles which can serve to spur a
prompt and unified response under the direction of Chapter I or Chapter VII
accordingly.
For the sake of keeping this analysis
focused I will assume no one will contest a principle stating in a case of blatant
State sponsored genocide the UNSC should be required to act in accordance with
Chapter VII. Conversely a peaceful
gathering of people protesting higher taxes doesn’t warrant the violation of a
State’s sovereignty. That said I will
continue by analyzing the justifications given by the P5 members for their
respective votes in an effort to highlight factors that would mandate UNSC
action in accordance with Chapter I or Chapter VII.
Why Russia vetoed:
On Monday (2/6/12) Russian Foreign
Minister Sergei Lavrov spoke in Moscow supporting his government’s veto of the
resolution by arguing the resolution is one-sided against the Syrian
government. Mr. Lavrov justified this by
citing the resolution as calling for the Syrian Government to end violent
actions, without obligating groups opposing the regime (like the Free Syrian
Army) to cease violent acts as well.
Russia has opposed many of the sanctions
and political efforts to isolate Syria, choosing instead to work with the Assad
regime to try and impose a democratic transition. This strategy was supported by arguing a
sudden and violent change in Syria’s government would result in a volatile
situation similar to that in Libya.
Additionally, on Wednesday (2/8/12) Mr.
Lavrov commented that both the Syrian regime and the opposition have instigated
the armed conflict. “On both sides there are people that aim at an armed
confrontation, not a dialogue.” Mr.
Lavrov continued to say that President Assad wants his Vice President,
Farouk al-Sharaa, to hold talks with opposition
groups.
Why China vetoed:
Like Russia,
China has argued that it vetoed the UN Resolution to save lives and ensure
stability in Syria. According to Sun Zhe,
international studies professors at Tsinghua University, Chinese officials view
the actions of the Syrian Government as, “extremist”, but they do not want to
see a repeat of Libya or Egypt.
While the UNSC
approved two resolutions in 2011 which authorized action, “by all means
necessary” (Ivory Coast and Libya), it now seems that Russia and China are less
comfortable with the idea of regime change.
For Russia this is because Syria is a close ally, and it therefore is
inclined to stand by it. For China these
circumstances are slightly different. For
a Chinese perspective this resolution undoubtedly seems like an attempt by the
UN to remove regimes which don’t agree with it.
This would be worrisome for China as doesn’t always agree with the
opinion of the UN.
Britain, France,
and the USA:
Conversely, the
13 members of the UNSC which voted for the resolution see Assad’s regime as a
government which has been told stop, had sanctions imposed against it, and yet
the violence persists. After nearly a
year of protests and death the only change has been Syria’s decent towards chaos. In contradiction to Russia which is still
trying to work with the President Assad to impose democratic reforms, Nations
favoring the resolution believe the Syrian government has already shown its
unwillingness change its behavior and policies and therefore intervention is
the last resort.
So where is the
line between Chapter I and Chapter VII? In
December of 2001 the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty
(ICISS) met and produced The Responsibility to Protect report. In the introduction the report succinctly states that, “sovereign states have a
responsibility to protect their own citizens from avoidable catastrophe – from mass
murder and rape, from starvation – but that when they are unwilling or unable
to do so, that responsibility must be borne by the broader community of states.”
(VIII) It is important to notice how closely this statement echoes the language
in Chapter I and Chapter VII of the UN Charter.
Where the ICISS takes the next, crucial, step is it doesn’t allow the responsibility
to protect to disappear in a gray middle ground between Chapter I and Chapter
VII. Rather it clearly states that once
the sovereign state is “unwilling or unable” to uphold this responsibility, it
must be picked up by the international community.
With this I believe
Syria has clearly and unquestionably failed in its responsibility to protect its
citizens. Combined with the
unwillingness of President Assad’s regime to work with the international
community to stop the violence I further believe an intervention in Syria is
not only justified, but is morally necessary.
While I can acknowledge why Russia and China would be against this
intervention, I believe I have clearly negated any moral justification for
their vetoes of the UN resolution.
I would like to
close by presenting the guidelines for military intervention from the ICISS’s The Responsibility to Protect Report. I believe these are self-explanatory but if
there readers feel these principles need more clarification I will provide it
at a later date.
- Right Authority – Who authorizes military action. (ICISS 32)
- Just Cause – “What kind of harm is sufficient to trigger a military intervention overriding the non-intervention principle.” (ICISS 32) This is generally characterized by large scale loss of life or ethnic cleansing.
- Right Intention – “To halt or avert human suffering.” (ICISS 35) Should always be established through multilateralism.
- Last Resort – There must be reasonable grounds to say no other option would work. (ICISS 36)
- Proportional Means – The scale and duration of operations should be minimally necessary to end human rights violations. (ICISS 37)
- Reasonable Prospects – Must have a reasonable chance of success, can’t make the conflict last larger. (ICISS 37)
Labels:
Arab League,
China,
Intervention,
Russia,
Syria,
UN
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