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Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Paradise Lost

Before I dive into the meat and potatoes of this post I want to explain why I titled it Paradise Lost.  My working title was Trouble in Paradise, but that was the headline for this story in many of the major news outlets and I wanted to set this analysis apart from the crowd.  I settled on Paradise Lost in reference to John Milton’s 1667 poem by the same name.  The poem concerns the Biblical story of the banishment of Adam and Eve from the Garden of Eden.  In Milton’s own words the purpose of the poem is to, “justify the ways of God to men.”  Admittedly that was where my knowledge of the work ended.  But after reading a synopsis or two I think an interesting comparison can be drawn between Satan tempting Adam and Eve to eat from the Tree of Knowledge of Good and Evil, and Former President Nasheed exposing corruption in the Maldives.  In both stories Satan/Nasheed could have safely remained the ruler of their respective domains, but they chose to brave the abyss to show Adam and Eve/the world the truth about good and evil, rather than allow them to remain oblivious.  Of course their motivations for acting were very different so this is where my comparison ends. 

In December I posted a link to the Top 5 International Documentaries of 2011.  If you haven’t already I highly recommend checking them out, especially The Island President, the story of then President Mohamed Nasheed and his struggle to raise awareness of the dangers of global climate change.  This story is captivating for two reasons: the first is that in 2008 Nasheed became the first democratically elected President of the Maldives, a small island nation in the Indian Ocean.  The second reason is that for the Maldives climate change doesn’t just mean more powerful storms or extreme temperatures.  Rising sea levels threaten to submerge the nation (highest elevation is eight feet) beneath the waves of the Indian Ocean, literally erasing it from the map. 

The reason I say “then President” is on February 7th Mr. Nasheed resigned from office.  He succinctly chronicles the events leading up to his resignation in an Op-Ed piece he submitted to the New York Times.  To summarize its contents, Mr. Nasheed asserts that he was forced out of office at gun point after cracking down on a corrupt judicial system and Islamist Extremists using the freedom of expression guaranteed by the new Constitution to spread hate and intolerance.    

In addition to his Op-Ed piece, Mr. Nasheed was recently interviewed by Christiane Amanpour.  In the interview Mr. Nasheed asserts that, “What happens in the Maldives happens in the Middle East always two or three years later.”  This assertion foreshadows a similar upheaval in Libya, Tunisia, Yemen, and Egypt in 2014. 

Mr. Nasheed has been succeeded by his Vice President, Mohammed Waheed Hassan Manik.  After taking office the new government issued a warrant for the arrest of Mr. Nasheed on unspecified criminal charges and began to rebuild the President’s cabinet with individuals who held high offices during Mr. Guyoom’s dictatorship.  Initially President Waheed said Presidential elections would be held as scheduled in October 2013, however he has recently changed his stance and said elections would be held, “as early as considered feasible by all concerned.”  This was further solidified by Indian Foreign Secretary Ranjan Mathai who brokered an agreement between the two parties for early elections.

If the word of former President Nasheed is taken as the truth, this coup d’état represents a dangerous future for nations emerging from the Arab Spring with new governments.  However it is promising that both sides of this issue have thus far been able to work through their differences and agree on a course of action to resolve their dispute.  To 
quote current President Waheed Hassan, “this is an opportunity for us to regain the respect of the international community, but most importantly continue to build a safe, democratic, and prosperous Maldives for all our people.”  Clearly the truth of this statement can’t be over emphasized.


Assuming early elections are head in the next few months; the success of this brokered peace will be determined by how free and fair the election is, and the acceptance of the election results.  If the losing candidate and their supporters acknowledge that the election was free and fair, and that they accept their opponent as the peoples’ choice for President of the Maldives, than this will be a perfect case study for the peaceful resolution of contested Presidencies.  If however, civil unrest ensues or the election is not democratic, the Maldives would become the newest example of a country in chaos and unable to escape political strife.  

2 comments:

  1. What kind of corruption, specifically, was going on in the judicial system? And how long was this corruption on-going? I would be willing to put money down that there will not be presidential elections in the next 2-3 years. As you said, the new president (former VP) has already issued an unspecified criminal charge against Nasheed. Ideologically, this is a clear step backwards into another dictatorship and I fear that the Maldives may be lost to not only dictatorship by the former VP, but to a power struggle and potentially violent uproar from other groups looking to gain power. I would love to know how Nasheed came to power originally. Was it elections? Was he placed there with the support of other nations?

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    1. Thanks for your comment!

      The Judges Mr. Nasheed was pursuing were appointed by the former autocratic President Guyoom. In his Op-Ed piece Mr. Nasheed asserts that these judges used their authority to protect the former dictator and his allies from charges of corruption, embezzlement, and human rights violations. So this protection has occurred since 2008, although fraudulent actions like these were supposedly common place during the rule of Mr. Guyoom from 1978 to 2008.

      If you are putting money down, I’ll gladly take it. Although President Waheed Hassan initially said elections would be held as scheduled in October 2013, he has now committed himself to early elections (pending 2/3rds approval by Parliament). Reneging on this would be a clear sign that he doesn’t want to have the elections, and therefore has something to hide. That something would be that he came to power in an illegal coup d’état and forced the rightful President to resign at gunpoint. This would legitimize Mr. Nasheed’s claims and galvanize international support in his favor.

      However, if the bet is on whether these elections will be free and fair, that is a different question and one that is much more uncertain. The contested circumstances surrounding Mr. Nasheed’s resignation lead me to believe there is the potential There is already reason to doubt the benevolence of the current government has very few quarrels with bending the rules and

      Prior to being elected president, Mr. Nasheed was an activist who wrote several articles against the Maldives Government. As a result he was repeatedly imprisoned and tortured between 1990 and 1998. After spending time in the UK as political refugee and being arrested on false charges of terrorism Mr. Nasheed won the 2008 Presidential election with 54% of the vote. The election was the first time the Maldives had held a multi-party popular vote election.

      I think I’ve answered all of your questions, but if you’d like some clarification let me know.

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